This is still hard to call. Erdogan is a wack job no question. If the military is more secular, I certainly welcome that. But if they are shooting people in the streets as appears to be the case, you have the potential to delve into flat out civil war.
Instability in the region makes Putin horny i believe, and honestly........its just one more thing.
The middle east, the followers of Islam, and those that sympathize with radical Islam.......seem to all have lost their freaking minds recently.